Taco Bout Fertility Tuesday · Episode companion tool
A quick, education-only estimate of how many mature eggs it typically takes to reach a chosen chance of a future live birth — based on published fertility research, not a personal prediction. Adjust the sliders below to see how age, your family goals, and how "sure" you want to be all change the number.
Move the sliders to match your situation.
Same family goal and confidence level, shown across ages — your age is highlighted.
Bars above ~100 eggs are capped and labeled — at that point, most patients and physicians are weighing multiple retrieval cycles, donor eggs, or other paths, not just "freeze more."
Optional — if you know your AMH or antral follicle count (AFC) from a fertility workup.
The core estimate models each mature frozen egg as an independent chance at a future live birth, with that chance declining by age — calibrated to published live-birth-probability data from Goldman et al., Human Reproduction 2017, and cross-checked against Doyle et al., Fertility and Sterility 2016 (the study ASRM's own 2021 guideline cites). Ages roughly 32–42 are close to directly-published data points; ages under ~28 and over ~43 are extrapolated using the shape of published age-vs-egg-quality curves, since few studies report outcomes at those extremes.
The cycles estimate uses rough eggs-per-cycle bands from a 2025 Human Reproduction yield-prediction model (age + AMH + AFC + FSH, ~915 cycles) — it's a planning ballpark, not a personal prediction, since actual yield varies a lot by clinic protocol and cycle-to-cycle.
What this tool intentionally does not do: adjust the core number for BMI, smoking, PCOS, or endometriosis. Those factors have real evidence tying them to how many eggs one retrieval cycle produces — but not to how many eggs you need banked for a given live-birth chance, independent of age. ASRM's guideline is explicit that there's insufficient evidence to make that second kind of adjustment, so we'd rather show you an honest age-based number than a falsely precise one.